Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.003736 0.004086 0.004460 0.004892 0.005376 0.005906 0.006530
2025-11-23 0.003086 0.003564 0.004112 0.004790 0.005615 0.006591 0.007848
2025-11-30 0.002774 0.003323 0.003983 0.004842 0.005945 0.007332 0.009241
2025-12-07 0.002595 0.003202 0.003960 0.004989 0.006375 0.008211 0.010891
2025-12-14 0.002372 0.002995 0.003797 0.004923 0.006498 0.008678 0.012021
2025-12-21 0.002175 0.002801 0.003625 0.004818 0.006544 0.009022 0.012998
2025-12-28 0.002027 0.002657 0.003506 0.004767 0.006649 0.009451 0.014142
2026-01-04 0.001926 0.002567 0.003452 0.004799 0.006871 0.010068 0.015658
2026-01-11 0.001809 0.002446 0.003341 0.004735 0.006936 0.010439 0.016806
2026-01-18 0.001712 0.002346 0.003252 0.004693 0.007026 0.010854 0.018080
2026-01-25 0.001620 0.002247 0.003158 0.004633 0.007079 0.011205 0.019280
2026-02-01 0.001556 0.002184 0.003112 0.004645 0.007247 0.011768 0.020960
2026-02-08 0.001475 0.002096 0.003027 0.004595 0.007320 0.012195 0.022495
2026-02-15 0.001391 0.001997 0.002920 0.004501 0.007311 0.012477 0.023797
2026-02-22 0.001345 0.001955 0.002898 0.004549 0.007556 0.013265 0.026331
2026-03-01 0.001321 0.001945 0.002928 0.004685 0.007976 0.014448 0.030003
2026-03-08 0.001260 0.001872 0.002850 0.004624 0.008016 0.014863 0.031935
2026-03-15 0.001197 0.001793 0.002756 0.004527 0.007976 0.015104 0.033482
2026-03-22 0.001147 0.001734 0.002691 0.004480 0.008029 0.015551 0.035656
2026-03-29 0.001115 0.001701 0.002670 0.004509 0.008239 0.016372 0.039036
2026-04-05 0.001070 0.001644 0.002604 0.004450 0.008259 0.016761 0.041284
2026-04-12 0.001031 0.001596 0.002551 0.004411 0.008318 0.017248 0.043942
2026-04-19 0.000991 0.001546 0.002491 0.004356 0.008336 0.017637 0.046396